The Conservatives would form a minority government if an election took place today, according to projections from 338Canada. .The Conservatives would win 140 seats — an increase from 119 in 2021 — according to the projections. While holding government now, the projections show the Liberals would win 138 seats — a decrease from 160..The Bloc Quebecois would come in third place with 35 seats. Fourth place would go to the NDP with 23 seats..The Greens would stay the same at two seats. The People’s Party of Canada (PPC) would not win a seat..While the Conservatives would form a minority government, the projections said they would win the popular vote at 35% and the Liberals would come in second place at 31%. .The NDP would take 19%. This was followed by the Bloc Quebecois (8%), Greens (4%), and PPC (3%). .Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would win his seat in Papineau, QC. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has a safe hold on Carleton, ON..Bloc Quebecois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet has a safe hold on Beloeil-Chambly, QC. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh would probably hold onto Burnaby South, BC, but he could lose it to the Liberal candidate..Green leader Elizabeth May has a safe hold on Saanich-Gulf Islands, BC. PPC leader Maxime Bernier would lose Beauce, QC, to the Conservative candidate..These projections come after Liberal MP Han Dong (Don Valley North, ON) resigned from the party's caucus March 22 after confirming he had contact with the Chinese consulate in Toronto..READ MORE: Liberal MP resigns over alleged contact with Chinese Communist agents.Dong stood in the House of Commons and delivered his resignation statement while crying and with his hands shaking. .He admitted he spoke with officials, but denied allegations he asked them to help the Liberals..The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic information. No margin of error was assigned to it.
The Conservatives would form a minority government if an election took place today, according to projections from 338Canada. .The Conservatives would win 140 seats — an increase from 119 in 2021 — according to the projections. While holding government now, the projections show the Liberals would win 138 seats — a decrease from 160..The Bloc Quebecois would come in third place with 35 seats. Fourth place would go to the NDP with 23 seats..The Greens would stay the same at two seats. The People’s Party of Canada (PPC) would not win a seat..While the Conservatives would form a minority government, the projections said they would win the popular vote at 35% and the Liberals would come in second place at 31%. .The NDP would take 19%. This was followed by the Bloc Quebecois (8%), Greens (4%), and PPC (3%). .Prime Minister Justin Trudeau would win his seat in Papineau, QC. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has a safe hold on Carleton, ON..Bloc Quebecois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet has a safe hold on Beloeil-Chambly, QC. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh would probably hold onto Burnaby South, BC, but he could lose it to the Liberal candidate..Green leader Elizabeth May has a safe hold on Saanich-Gulf Islands, BC. PPC leader Maxime Bernier would lose Beauce, QC, to the Conservative candidate..These projections come after Liberal MP Han Dong (Don Valley North, ON) resigned from the party's caucus March 22 after confirming he had contact with the Chinese consulate in Toronto..READ MORE: Liberal MP resigns over alleged contact with Chinese Communist agents.Dong stood in the House of Commons and delivered his resignation statement while crying and with his hands shaking. .He admitted he spoke with officials, but denied allegations he asked them to help the Liberals..The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic information. No margin of error was assigned to it.
