Peter MacKay

Peter MacKay (source: CBC)

I was waiting for the letter blaming social conservatives for the last election loss. The problem is that it isn’t true. Even with Harper’s 2011 numbers, Scheer would still have lost election to Trudeau.

Are any of the leadership candidates capable of beating Trudeau at present? I don’t believe a conservative – any of them – can win election so long as the NDP support remains at historic lows. The Conservative Party, even in its best years has never garnered more than about 40 per cent of the electorate. Unless the NDP and Green parties secures 20 per cent of the electorate, the Liberal party will likely win election irrespective of the leader the conservatives choose..

As for MacKay, he would need to bolster support in the Maritimes and in Ontario to beat Trudeau. I see no evidence he would bring increased conservative support in the GTA. While more seats in the Maritimes would be helpful, these seats would be counterbalanced by losses in the West, particularly British Columbia.

We should vote for the leader who offers us the best conservative vision, rather than chase ephemeral electoral appeal.

Sean OIlech

Prince George, BC

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