Leadership candidate Danielle Smith tops the race to replace Jason Kenney as UCP leader and Alberta premier with 44% support of party backers, according to a new poll..The Western Standard commissioned Mainstreet Research to survey 1,247 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Alberta. The survey was conducted via automated telephone interviews using cellphones and landlines from September 7-8..Only UCP or UCP-leaning voters were surveyed. . graph1 .Smith led the survey with a commanding 44% support, while 20% said they backed Brian Jean in the leadership race. Close behind him was former UCP finance minister Travis Toews with 19%, while 7% are in Todd Loewen's camp. Rebecca Schulz received 6%, Leela Aheer had 3%, and Rajan Sawhney came in last with only 1%..The data suggests Smith is more popular with female voters in several income categories, including 48.4% of those aged 35-49 with college degrees who make $100,000 plus..The data also shows that Smith is popular with those in the lower income bracket — 42.2% of women who make $50,000 or less said they would support Smith.. graph2 .Smith is popular with rural Albertans — 45.3% saying they'd back her..In Edmonton, Smith has 43.8% support and in Calgary, 41.8%..Outside of the cities, Toews had 18.7% support. In Edmonton, only 20% said yes to Toews, and in Calgary 17.9%. .Jean stood at half Smith's support across Alberta. He had 20.4% support in rural sections of the province while Edmonton gave him 23.2% support and 17.8% in Calgary..Sawhney registered 0.2% in rural Alberta, while she had 1.1% support in Edmonton and 0.9% in Calgary..Loewen support was also low in rural Alberta with 9.1%, while Edmonton residents gave him 5.1% and Calgary support for his campaign was 6.4%..The data showed Schulz was more popular in Calgary than in Edmonton. Calgary gave her 11.6% support while Edmonton only registered 4% support for her. In rural Alberta, she had 4.1% support.. graph3 .CEO and President of Mainstreet Research, Quito Maggi, told the Western Standard that Smith is the clear frontrunner.."It's pretty clear Daniel Smith is the favorite here," he said.The margin of error for the poll conducted by Mainstreet Research is +/- 2.8% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample meaning that totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Leadership candidate Danielle Smith tops the race to replace Jason Kenney as UCP leader and Alberta premier with 44% support of party backers, according to a new poll..The Western Standard commissioned Mainstreet Research to survey 1,247 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Alberta. The survey was conducted via automated telephone interviews using cellphones and landlines from September 7-8..Only UCP or UCP-leaning voters were surveyed. . graph1 .Smith led the survey with a commanding 44% support, while 20% said they backed Brian Jean in the leadership race. Close behind him was former UCP finance minister Travis Toews with 19%, while 7% are in Todd Loewen's camp. Rebecca Schulz received 6%, Leela Aheer had 3%, and Rajan Sawhney came in last with only 1%..The data suggests Smith is more popular with female voters in several income categories, including 48.4% of those aged 35-49 with college degrees who make $100,000 plus..The data also shows that Smith is popular with those in the lower income bracket — 42.2% of women who make $50,000 or less said they would support Smith.. graph2 .Smith is popular with rural Albertans — 45.3% saying they'd back her..In Edmonton, Smith has 43.8% support and in Calgary, 41.8%..Outside of the cities, Toews had 18.7% support. In Edmonton, only 20% said yes to Toews, and in Calgary 17.9%. .Jean stood at half Smith's support across Alberta. He had 20.4% support in rural sections of the province while Edmonton gave him 23.2% support and 17.8% in Calgary..Sawhney registered 0.2% in rural Alberta, while she had 1.1% support in Edmonton and 0.9% in Calgary..Loewen support was also low in rural Alberta with 9.1%, while Edmonton residents gave him 5.1% and Calgary support for his campaign was 6.4%..The data showed Schulz was more popular in Calgary than in Edmonton. Calgary gave her 11.6% support while Edmonton only registered 4% support for her. In rural Alberta, she had 4.1% support.. graph3 .CEO and President of Mainstreet Research, Quito Maggi, told the Western Standard that Smith is the clear frontrunner.."It's pretty clear Daniel Smith is the favorite here," he said.The margin of error for the poll conducted by Mainstreet Research is +/- 2.8% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample meaning that totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
