A new Mainstreet Research poll released Saturday reported that the United Conservative Party (UCP) are leading the Alberta NDP by six points..The election is a tight two-party race between the UCP and Alberta NDP..Recent polls reported that the UCP and the Alberta NDP are “deadlocked" heading into the May general election, which will determine who becomes premier and what party forms the government..On Saturday, Mainstreet Research released its recent findings on voters from a survey conducted from May 9 to May 12 among a sample of 1338 adults, 18 or older, living in Alberta..Mainstreet Research said if a provincial election were held today, 45% would vote for the UCP, while 39% would vote for the Alberta NDP..The UCP and NDP can still grab votes, with 11% saying they were undecided and 50% of decided voters who answered the survey said if a provincial election were held today, they would vote for UCP leader Danielle Smith. Alberta NDP Rachel Notley's support is 44% among voters..The survey also asked voters do they have a favourable or unfavourable view of Smith. Only 26% said they have a “Strongly favourable” opinion of Smith, while 40% said they have a “Strongly unfavourable” opinion of Smith. “Somewhat favourable” was third on the list with 20%, while “Somewhat unfavourable” was 8%. The rest of the voters, 5%, said they “Don't know.”.The survey also asked voters do they have a favourable or unfavourable view of Notley. Only 29% said they have a “Strongly favourable” opinion of Notley, while 39% said they have a “Strongly unfavourable” opinion of Notley. “Somewhat favourable” was third on the list with 15%, while “Somewhat unfavourable” was 13%. The rest of the voters, 4%, said they “Don't know.”.Mainstreet Research said if a federal election were held today, 56% would vote for Conservative Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre and 18% said they would vote Liberal and for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. The NDP came third on the list with 13% support..The survey is intended to represent the voting population in Alberta..The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.7% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
