Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre Illustration by Jarryd Jäger, Western Standard
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New poll shows Trudeau Liberals in THIRD place, Cons approaching 50%

In British Columbia, support for the Conservatives went up by 10%.

Jarryd Jäger

A poll recently conducted by the Angus Reid Institute has shown that the Liberals have fallen to third place nationally.

The Conservatives, meanwhile, have risen even closer to 50%.

According to the poll, 45% of Canadians expressed an intention to vote for Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives, up 2% since the survey was last sent out. The NDP under Jagmeet Singh gained 1% support, bringing their total to 21%. With Justin Trudeau at the helm, the Liberals lost five points, coming in at just 16%.

The Conservatives saw their support grow or remain stable in every region of the country, save for Alberta and Ontario, where it went down by 1%. In British Columbia, support for the party went up by 10%.

The Liberals were down across the board, suffering their greatest losses in Quebec, -8%, and British Columbia, -6%.

In a press release, the Angus Reid Institute explained that the Liberals' results were "the lowest level of support for the party" it had reported since 2014, and "quite possibly the lowest vote intention the Liberals have ever received in the modern era."

Among those who voted Liberal in 2021, only 7% said they "strongly approve" of Trudeau's performance. A further 39% said they "moderately approve."A full 25% said they now "strongly disapprove of the leader of the party that had their support last time around.

Among all voters, Trudeau's popularity fell to 22%, the lowest in his tenure as prime minister.

The poll was conducted between December 27 and 30, 2024 among a representative randomized sample of 2,261 Canadian adults, all of whom were members of the Angus Reid Forum.