CALGARY, AB—An exclusive Mainstreet Research poll commissioned by the Western Standard shows the Calgary mayoral race entering a dead heat..The poll shows that among decided and leaning voters, top contenders Jeromy Farkas and Jyoti Gondek are at 36% and 35% respectively, effectively tied within the margin of error..Jeff Davison had the backing of 10% of respondents, while Brad field had the support of 5% and Dean Hopkins 2%, while 12% chose “another candidate.”.But, including undecided voters, the race appears to be even more open with more than a month and-a-half to go until voting day..Including all respondents, the race broke down with Farkas and Gondek at 23%, Jeff Davison 6%, Brad Field 3%, Dean Hopkins 2%, and “another candidate” 10%. The largest single group of respondents was “undecided” at 34%..The Mainstreet Poll was conducted between August 29 and September 1 among a sample of 808 demographically weighted adults. The survey used automated telephone interviews — using a combination of landlines and mobile phones — and online samples. The margin of error for a probability sample of this size would be +/-3.5% at the 95% confidence level..Details of the poll’s data and methodology can be read here..Mainstreet Research President Quito Maggi said the Calgary mayoral race appears to now be deadlocked between the two top contenders with a number of other potential dark horse contenders still in the running, and that support is heavily broken down along demographic lines at this stage..“Farkas has an advantage among men and voters over 50 years of age, while Gondek has the advantage among women and voters under 50”, said Maggi. “This gives Gondek a demographic advantage in Calgary, among Canada’s youngest cities.”.“Entering the sprint finish after the federal election, there could be enough time for late shifts. Pandemic realities could impact turnout in ways that are atypical, campaigns that focus on early voting may have an advantage if Covid projections for the fall become a reality.”.On September 6, after the poll was taken, former Liberal MLA and cabinet minister Kent Hehr announced he would be entering the race, potentially crowding the left lane..A Mainstreet Research poll conducted in February for the Western Standard showed Farkas in a competitive second place against incumbent Mayor Naheed Nenshi with Gondek in a very distant third place. Since Nenshi has announced he will not be running again, Gondek appears to have picked up much of the outgoing mayor’s support..Farkas Campaign spokesman Jonathan Denis said his candidate’s strong position in the polls is indicative of Calgarian’s appetite for change from the outgoing administration..“Calgarians have a choice: more from the same councillors who have enabled Nenshi’s reckless tax-and-spend, anti-business, and defund-the-police policies – or for change,” Denis told the Western Standard..“Jeromy is humbled to see our campaign earn the support of more grassroots donors than the second and third place competitors combined. While we’re pleased to see such strong momentum for our campaign, every vote will count on October 18.”.Gondek Campaign Manager Stephen Carter told the Western Standard the close race is positive news for his candidate..“We are pleased when the unofficial scorekeeping of polling comes out positive, this sets up more work for us in the future to keep up with Farkas to ensure we represent the best future for Calgarians,” said Carter..“The thing with good polls is you have to work harder to make sure the poll isn’t an anomaly. You have to work hard to make sure you keep up with what people expect of you..“Anyone who slows down after a good poll winds up losing.”.Details of the poll’s data and methodology can be read here.
CALGARY, AB—An exclusive Mainstreet Research poll commissioned by the Western Standard shows the Calgary mayoral race entering a dead heat..The poll shows that among decided and leaning voters, top contenders Jeromy Farkas and Jyoti Gondek are at 36% and 35% respectively, effectively tied within the margin of error..Jeff Davison had the backing of 10% of respondents, while Brad field had the support of 5% and Dean Hopkins 2%, while 12% chose “another candidate.”.But, including undecided voters, the race appears to be even more open with more than a month and-a-half to go until voting day..Including all respondents, the race broke down with Farkas and Gondek at 23%, Jeff Davison 6%, Brad Field 3%, Dean Hopkins 2%, and “another candidate” 10%. The largest single group of respondents was “undecided” at 34%..The Mainstreet Poll was conducted between August 29 and September 1 among a sample of 808 demographically weighted adults. The survey used automated telephone interviews — using a combination of landlines and mobile phones — and online samples. The margin of error for a probability sample of this size would be +/-3.5% at the 95% confidence level..Details of the poll’s data and methodology can be read here..Mainstreet Research President Quito Maggi said the Calgary mayoral race appears to now be deadlocked between the two top contenders with a number of other potential dark horse contenders still in the running, and that support is heavily broken down along demographic lines at this stage..“Farkas has an advantage among men and voters over 50 years of age, while Gondek has the advantage among women and voters under 50”, said Maggi. “This gives Gondek a demographic advantage in Calgary, among Canada’s youngest cities.”.“Entering the sprint finish after the federal election, there could be enough time for late shifts. Pandemic realities could impact turnout in ways that are atypical, campaigns that focus on early voting may have an advantage if Covid projections for the fall become a reality.”.On September 6, after the poll was taken, former Liberal MLA and cabinet minister Kent Hehr announced he would be entering the race, potentially crowding the left lane..A Mainstreet Research poll conducted in February for the Western Standard showed Farkas in a competitive second place against incumbent Mayor Naheed Nenshi with Gondek in a very distant third place. Since Nenshi has announced he will not be running again, Gondek appears to have picked up much of the outgoing mayor’s support..Farkas Campaign spokesman Jonathan Denis said his candidate’s strong position in the polls is indicative of Calgarian’s appetite for change from the outgoing administration..“Calgarians have a choice: more from the same councillors who have enabled Nenshi’s reckless tax-and-spend, anti-business, and defund-the-police policies – or for change,” Denis told the Western Standard..“Jeromy is humbled to see our campaign earn the support of more grassroots donors than the second and third place competitors combined. While we’re pleased to see such strong momentum for our campaign, every vote will count on October 18.”.Gondek Campaign Manager Stephen Carter told the Western Standard the close race is positive news for his candidate..“We are pleased when the unofficial scorekeeping of polling comes out positive, this sets up more work for us in the future to keep up with Farkas to ensure we represent the best future for Calgarians,” said Carter..“The thing with good polls is you have to work harder to make sure the poll isn’t an anomaly. You have to work hard to make sure you keep up with what people expect of you..“Anyone who slows down after a good poll winds up losing.”.Details of the poll’s data and methodology can be read here.
