The Alberta NDP would form a majority government if an election took place now, according to projections by 338Canada. .The projections said the Alberta NDP would win a total of 46 seats, an increase from 24 in 2019. They said the Alberta United Conservative Party would gather 41 seats, a decrease from 63. .No other parties would win a seat in the Alberta Legislature. The other parties the projections cited were the Alberta Party, the Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta (WIPA), the Alberta Liberals, and the Alberta Greens. .The projections went on to say the NDP would win the popular vote with 46%. They said the UCP would come in second place at 45%. .The Alberta Party and WIPA would each take 3% of the vote. This was followed by the Alberta Liberals (2%) and the Alberta Greens (1%). .NDP Leader Rachel Notley has a safe hold on her seat of Edmonton-Strathcona. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith would win Brooks-Medicine Hat, beating out Alberta Party Leader Barry Morishita and WIPA Interim Leader Jeevan Singh Mangat. .The projections show Liberal Leader John Roggeveen would likely lose his race in Calgary-Fish Creek to the UCP candidate. Green Leader Jordan Wilkie, who resides in Edmonton and has not specified where he will be running, will not clinch a seat because of the NDP's strength in the city. .These projections come after Alberta Lieutenant Governor Salma Lakhani delivered her Speech from the Throne to open the fourth session of the 30th Legislature on Tuesday. .READ MORE: Speech from the Throne opens the fourth session of the 30th Legislature in Alberta.“Honourable Members, this is a challenging time for our province,” said Lakhani. .“Rising inflation is impacting the ability of Albertans to provide for themselves and their families; our healthcare system is under significant strain; and we’re combatting unprecedented interference and overreach from the federal government in Ottawa.”.The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic data. No margin of error was assigned to this poll.
