The Alberta NDP would form a narrow majority government if an election took place now, according to projections from 338Canada. .The Alberta NDP would win 46 seats, an increase of 24 in 2019, according to the Saturday projections. They said the Alberta United Conservative Party would garner 41 seats, a decrease of 63 in 2019. .No other parties would win a seat in the Alberta Legislature. The other parties the projections cited were the Alberta Party, the Alberta Greens, and the Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta (WIPA). .The projections went on to say the Alberta NDP would win the popular vote at 49%. They added the Alberta UCP would finish in second place at 47%. .The Alberta Party and Greens would tie for third place at 1%. WIPA would not register a measurable percentage. .NDP leader Rachel Notley has a safe hold on Edmonton-Strathcona. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith would likely win Brooks-Medicine Hat, beating out Alberta Party leader Barry Morishita. .Green leader Jordan Wilkie would lose Edmonton-Rutherford to the NDP candidate. WIPA interim leader Jeevan Singh Mangat is expected to lose Innisfail-Sylvan Lake to the UCP candidate. .The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic information. No margin of error was assigned to it.
