The Alberta United Conservative Party (UCP) would form a slim majority government if an election were held today, according to projections from 338Canada. .The Alberta UCP would win 44 seats, a decrease from 63 in 2019, according to the Wednesday projections. They said the Alberta NDP would obtain 43 seats, an increase from 24 in 2019..No other parties would win a seat in the Alberta Legislature. The other parties the projections cited were the Alberta Party, the Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta (WIPA), the Alberta Liberals, and the Alberta Greens.. UCP majority338Canada seat projection .The projections went on to say the Alberta UCP would win the popular vote at 47%. They added the Alberta NDP would come in second place at 45%. .This was followed by the Alberta Party (4%), WIPA (2%) and the Liberals (1%). The Greens would not register a measurable percentage..Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has a safe hold on Brooks-Medicine Hat, beating out Alberta Party leader Barry Morishita and WIPA interim leader Jeevan Singh Mangat. NDP leader Rachel Notley would win her seat in Edmonton-Strathcona..Liberal leader John Roggeveen would probably lose his race in Calgary-Fish Creek to the UCP candidate. Green leader Jordan Wilkie would lose Edmonton-Rutherford to the NDP candidate..These projections come after Notley called for a judicial review upon claiming Smith interfered in the justice system on March 30. .READ MORE: Notley says there must be a judicial review of Smith's “interference” in ongoing criminal cases.“The premier does not have unfettered control of our justice system,” said Notley..“Not in a Canadian democracy.” .The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic information. No margin of error was assigned to this poll.
