The Alberta United Conservative Party would form a majority government with fewer seats than it had in 2019 if an election were held today, according to projections from 338Canada. .The Alberta UCP would win 48 seats, a decrease from 63 in 2019, according to the Tuesday projections. They said the Alberta NDP would obtain 39 seats, an increase from 24 in 2019..No other parties would win a seat in the Alberta Legislature. The other parties the projections cited were the Alberta Party, the Alberta Greens, and the Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta (WIPA). .The projections went on to say the Alberta UCP would win the popular vote at 48%. They added the Alberta NDP would finish in second place at 44%. .The Alberta Party would receive 4%. No other parties would register a measurable percentage..Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has a safe hold on Brooks-Medicine Hat, beating out Alberta Party Barry Morishita. NDP leader Rachel Notley would win her seat in Edmonton-Strathcona..Green leader Jordan Wilkie would lose Edmonton-Rutherford to the NDP candidate. WIPA interim leader Jeevan Singh Mangat would lose Innisfail-Sylvan Lake to the UCP candidate..The projections come after Smith signed the UCP’s 'No Tax Hike Guarantee' on April 26, promising not to increase personal or business taxes if re-elected..READ MORE: UPDATED: Smith pledges to not raise taxes if re-elected.“The current Taxpayer Protection Act already provides protection against the introduction of a provincial sales tax,” said Smith..“But under a UCP government, we will expand the act to include personal and corporate income taxes so no government can increase them without approval from Albertans through a referendum.” .The data is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, election history, and demographic information. No margin of error was assigned to it.
