
As Saskatchewan heads to the polls on April 28, another blue wave of Conservative support is expected across 13 of the province’s 14 federal ridings.
While some urban areas, including Regina—Lewvan and parts of Saskatoon, may see tighter contests, the Conservatives are expected to continue their strong showing based on historic voting patterns and current trends.
Saskatchewan has traditionally favoured the Conservative Party, with every riding in the province turning blue in both the 2019 and 2021 federal elections.
The Conservatives rural strongholds remain firmly intact.
Souris—Moose Mountain, for instance, had a 76% voter turnout in the last election and has long been known for its reliable Conservative base.
Boundary changes to balance population growth have reshaped some northern ridings, notably Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River.
That seat, which has seen victories by the Liberals, NDP, and Conservatives in the past, might prove to be one of the few battlegrounds, with it presently a toss-up between the Liberals and Conservatives but leaning Liberal.
It’s the only riding with the Liberals leading and has the worst voter turnout rate in the province at only 33%.
Urban voters in Regina—Lewvan could once again deliver a closer race than most rural ridings.
This area has been won by both the NDP and the Conservatives, reflecting the changing demographics in Saskatchewan’s largest cities.
Nonetheless, Conservative candidates are working to maintain their hold on the province, with many campaigning on promises of lower taxes and support for the resource sector.
Cost of living and healthcare remain key issues for Saskatchewan voters.
Premier Scott Moe has encouraged residents to focus on economic growth and development plans.
Observers note these messages resonate strongly in rural areas, where concerns about jobs and local industries often overshadow other factors.
Despite some uncertainty brought on by boundary shifts and evolving urban demographics, the province will stay predominantly Conservative on election night.
Unless significant last-minute surprises emerge, Saskatchewan is once again poised to paint the federal election map blue, as it has done so often in recent years.
All eyes now turn to the final push of campaigning, as parties make their closing pitches to voters ahead of the April 28 federal election day.